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Red55
13117.5
495811.4
151928.8
Blue35
498714.7
172110.4
52659.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503520304060705535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.8
23.123.9
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End9.2
red by 14.1
4987
#27
14.70.3
12.212.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Second
131
#22
17.50.8
15.015.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 7.2
1721
#21
10.40.2
9.910.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Third
4958
#10
11.40.8
9.610.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.4
End3.7
red by 1.9
5265
#28
9.50.3
10.510.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed