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Red21
590212.6
632813.3
490512.8
Blue53
124712.0
81117.6
8824.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3651102030406070802153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#30
13.31.4
11.910.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 11.3
88
#5
24.60.5
20.821.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End3.8
Second
4905
#18
12.81.2
9.58.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 4.8
811
#7
17.60.4
15.716.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
5902
#24
12.61.4
12.611.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.4
End3.5
red by 0.5
1247
#16
12.00.5
12.112.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed