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Red34
79078.9
208411.4
395816.7
Blue20
346712.2
15126.3
46711.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2631010204050603420

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.7
11.612.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 4.4
3467
#15
12.20.8
12.311.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Second
2084
#23
11.40.6
10.310.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.0
red by 0.2
467
#26
11.21.1
11.710.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End4.3
Third
7907
#31
8.90.7
2.63.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End2.3
red by 2.6
1512
#35
6.31.1
5.84.7
Auto4.1
Teleop0.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed