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Red30
23429.8
676318.2
192225.9
Blue49
107322.9
172926.2
15119.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577202040801001201403049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
Unranked
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End8.3
blue by 0.3
1729
Unranked
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End5.5
Second
6763
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 4.7
1073
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Third
2342
Unranked
9.80.0
9.89.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 9.2
151
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds17%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking odds68%HAB Docking odds