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Qual 222019 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red76
16624.8
13118.3
615322.9
Blue70
632816.2
176828.5
50120.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70693040506080901001107670

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
24.80.0
24.8→24.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
blue by 3.7
1768
Unranked
28.50.0
28.5→28.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.6
End5.6
Second
6153
Unranked
22.90.0
22.9→22.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End4.3
red by 2.1
501
Unranked
20.80.0
20.8→20.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Third
131
Unranked
18.30.0
18.3→18.3
Auto2.6
Teleop12.6
End3.2
red by 2.1
6328
Unranked
16.20.0
16.2→16.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds9%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking odds49%HAB Docking odds