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Red49
173514.0
31932.7
172926.8
Blue66
287616.1
8822.1
740723.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806840601001204966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#11
32.72.0
34.232.2
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End8.3
red by 8.9
23.80.1
23.323.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End6.3
Second
1729
#21
26.82.0
26.224.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End7.0
red by 4.7
88
#8
22.10.1
23.924.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.8
End4.5
Third
1735
#19
14.02.0
15.113.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End5.3
blue by 2.1
2876
#17
16.10.1
17.517.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
47%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsEarned