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Red49
192222.8
107317.0
362311.4
Blue53
226217.3
346721.3
15119.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5555405060704953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#25
22.80.6
24.023.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.4
red by 1.5
21.30.3
18.017.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End5.6
Second
1073
#13
17.00.6
17.016.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End4.5
blue by 2.0
151
#10
19.00.3
18.217.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.9
Third
3623
#18
11.40.6
10.910.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.2
blue by 5.9
17.30.3
15.915.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsMissed