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Red40
13813.4
492517.7
332310.6
Blue28
15113.9
791310.6
71337.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3931102050604028

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.3
16.316.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 3.8
151
#26
13.90.2
12.112.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End3.1
Second
138
#14
13.40.3
13.013.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.4
red by 2.8
7913
#35
10.60.1
10.410.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Third
3323
#32
10.60.2
7.88.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End2.8
red by 3.5
7133
#31
7.10.2
7.27.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed