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Red40
124711.5
151714.3
130710.8
Blue54
360910.6
403411.1
31923.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39411020305060704054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#11
14.30.2
16.016.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End3.6
blue by 9.2
319
#4
23.61.0
20.021.0
Auto3.2
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Second
1247
#21
11.50.2
11.511.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End2.6
red by 0.4
4034
#19
11.11.3
10.411.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Third
1307
#34
10.80.3
9.19.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.6
red by 0.1
3609
#23
10.61.3
8.910.2
Auto5.2
Teleop2.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed