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Red62
5627.8
351511.1
22221.1
Blue11
334013.0
30319.8
19898.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655702040801001206211

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
27.80.0
28.928.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End8.2
red by 8.0
303
#31
19.82.9
26.123.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End4.8
Second
222
#13
21.10.0
22.622.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End3.7
red by 8.1
13.02.9
15.012.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End4.9
Third
11.10.0
9.910.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End2.2
red by 2.9
1989
#39
8.22.9
12.79.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
31%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed