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Red53
542115.1
125721.2
255417.8
Blue45
33322.1
10219.0
465210.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545446485052565860625345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#14
21.20.1
20.220.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End4.7
blue by 0.9
333
#22
22.10.4
20.620.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Second
2554
#10
17.80.1
17.517.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End4.7
blue by 1.2
102
#36
19.00.4
21.721.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End4.4
Third
5421
#12
15.10.1
13.713.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End3.3
red by 4.9
4652
#26
10.30.4
8.88.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed