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Red44
46529.5
694520.7
562413.0
Blue52
10219.6
255413.1
122813.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4340203050604452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.2
17.817.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End8.9
red by 1.2
102
#9
19.61.5
16.217.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End3.8
Second
5624
#29
13.00.3
13.413.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 0.1
2554
#23
13.11.5
11.713.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
4652
#27
9.50.2
9.89.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 3.6
1228
#11
13.10.9
10.411.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed