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Red50
403513.8
331419.7
428515.3
Blue63
162616.1
465318.3
181118.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48500204060801005063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#14
19.70.1
19.619.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End6.4
red by 1.3
1811
#18
18.40.4
16.316.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End3.8
Second
4285
#22
15.30.1
15.615.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End4.1
blue by 3.0
4653
#16
18.30.4
16.216.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End2.3
Third
4035
#30
13.80.1
9.89.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End2.5
blue by 2.3
1626
#10
16.10.7
15.316.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed