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Red59
253930.6
540129.1
249513.3
Blue84
69430.8
434221.7
542017.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777450607080905984

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.3
End7.3
blue by 0.3
694
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.5
End6.8
Second
5401
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.0
End3.9
red by 7.4
4342
Unranked
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End6.3
Third
2495
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
blue by 4.5
5420
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket odds7%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking odds89%HAB Docking odds