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Red58
622620.8
953910.1
632612.6
Blue49
81613.1
31622.2
171225.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466402040801005849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End8.0
blue by 4.5
1712
Unranked
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Second
6326
Unranked
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 9.6
316
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Third
9539
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 3.0
816
Unranked
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking odds28%HAB Docking odds