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Red42
192319.8
694516.4
125719.6
Blue17
78537.3
40355.7
436115.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47381020306070804217

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.6
16.215.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End2.8
red by 3.9
4361
#19
15.82.5
14.111.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End5.9
Second
1257
#11
19.60.6
15.214.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End6.3
red by 12.3
7853
#36
7.32.1
9.77.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Third
16.40.6
13.412.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End6.9
red by 10.7
4035
#37
5.72.5
11.99.4
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed