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Red43
22225.9
260012.4
167216.2
Blue30
259016.5
55512.1
694313.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060801001201401604330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#10
25.90.1
16.116.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.4
End3.7
red by 9.4
16.51.5
18.917.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.9
Second
1672
#12
16.20.1
12.312.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.7
End2.4
red by 2.8
6943
#23
13.30.9
7.66.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
Third
2600
#13
12.40.1
13.413.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End2.0
red by 0.3
555
#21
12.11.5
13.612.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed