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Red37
198913.9
20705.2
19311.6
Blue44
694516.4
1116.6
260012.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34481020304060703744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1989
#26
13.90.2
11.912.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End2.8
blue by 2.7
11
#17
16.60.4
14.714.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.7
End1.9
Second
193
#29
11.60.2
12.913.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.0
End2.1
blue by 4.8
16.40.4
15.515.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End6.9
Third
2070
#24
5.20.2
7.77.9
Auto0.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 7.2
2600
#13
12.40.4
14.814.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed