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Red46
314211.4
257722.9
55512.1
Blue18
7514.2
78537.3
70459.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423110205060704618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.7
18.819.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End9.2
red by 8.7
75
#18
14.21.2
12.211.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End3.8
Second
555
#21
12.10.7
9.610.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
red by 2.6
7045
#35
9.61.3
8.97.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End2.7
Third
3142
#22
11.40.7
11.011.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End3.9
red by 4.1
7853
#36
7.31.3
8.26.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed