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Red38
125719.6
53101.3
114318.2
Blue66
30324.7
176816.3
167216.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45493040603866

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#11
19.60.4
20.720.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End6.3
blue by 5.1
303
#6
24.72.1
21.923.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Second
1143
#14
18.20.3
16.115.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End4.0
red by 1.9
1768
#20
16.32.2
12.014.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Third
5310
#28
1.30.4
5.45.0
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End0.6
blue by 14.8
1672
#12
16.22.2
12.314.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed