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Red21
114318.2
12288.0
543811.2
Blue21
70459.6
694516.4
68609.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393510203050602121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#14
18.2
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End4.0
red by 1.8
16.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End6.9
Second
5438
#27
11.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End2.8
red by 1.6
6860
#31
9.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Third
1228
#32
8.0
Auto5.2
Teleop2.0
End0.8
blue by 1.6
7045
#35
9.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed