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Red51
257722.9
259016.5
436115.8
Blue23
53101.3
40355.7
176816.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45331020405060705123

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.9
13.514.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End9.2
red by 6.6
1768
#20
16.30.9
12.912.0
Auto2.5
Teleop11.4
End2.4
Second
16.50.9
17.518.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.9
red by 10.8
4035
#37
5.70.9
9.48.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Third
4361
#19
15.80.9
11.712.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End5.9
red by 14.5
5310
#28
1.30.9
8.98.0
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed