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Red47
75213.8
245812.0
363722.0
Blue68
428111.2
331425.8
22526.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426420801004768

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#28
22.00.5
18.619.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End3.1
blue by 4.4
225
#2
26.40.5
22.523.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.1
Second
752
#21
13.80.5
10.911.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End4.9
blue by 12.1
25.80.5
27.127.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.1
End7.8
Third
2458
#31
12.00.5
10.410.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
red by 0.8
4281
#24
11.20.5
10.711.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned