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Red71
71414.8
599220.8
167629.2
Blue68
4121.7
689713.3
162621.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69522030406080901007168

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.4
30.030.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 7.5
41
#7
21.71.3
18.119.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.4
End7.8
Second
5992
#13
20.80.4
21.121.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End2.4
blue by 0.7
1626
#11
21.51.3
19.320.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End6.2
Third
714
#30
14.80.4
14.214.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 1.5
6897
#29
13.31.3
11.512.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned