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Red62
29315.8
758710.8
331425.8
Blue60
127919.3
71414.8
198913.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5547203040506070806260

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.1
25.025.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.1
End7.8
red by 6.6
1279
#27
19.30.2
20.020.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.7
Second
293
#19
15.80.1
15.115.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End4.3
red by 1.0
714
#30
14.80.2
10.310.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Third
7587
#23
10.80.1
12.112.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 3.0
1989
#36
13.80.2
13.914.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed