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Red46
632715.1
601616.4
22325.5
Blue69
70458.5
22228.6
22526.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040801004669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#15
25.50.4
22.121.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
blue by 3.1
222
#4
28.60.9
25.926.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.8
End4.5
Second
6016
#12
16.40.4
11.210.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 10.0
225
#2
26.40.8
20.821.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.1
Third
6327
#34
15.10.4
15.114.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 6.6
7045
#33
8.50.9
9.610.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsEarned