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Red56
171222.9
545716.0
589528.8
Blue50
137019.9
315114.2
53105.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72422060805650

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.8
28.627.8
Auto4.9
Teleop18.8
End5.0
red by 8.8
1370
#23
19.90.7
20.621.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Second
22.90.8
22.521.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 8.6
3151
#19
14.20.7
13.514.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.0
Third
5457
#18
16.00.8
16.715.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.4
red by 10.9
5310
#27
5.10.7
6.16.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed