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Red44
180727.1
219113.3
20415.4
Blue55
48420.5
511323.9
20315.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6163203040507080901004455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.9
27.226.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End7.1
red by 3.2
5113
#11
23.90.3
23.022.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End5.5
Second
204
#8
15.40.9
16.015.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 5.1
484
#17
20.50.3
20.319.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End6.1
Third
2191
#34
13.30.9
14.413.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End3.2
blue by 1.9
203
#35
15.20.3
16.616.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned