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Red40
742514.8
264711.8
528520.0
Blue65
682421.9
742625.8
138820.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456420304050607080901004065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5285
#10
20.00.2
17.317.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
blue by 5.8
7426
#34
25.80.7
23.823.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Second
7425
#32Sur
14.80.3
13.212.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.8
blue by 7.1
6824
#21Sur
21.90.7
18.818.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.1
End3.2
Third
2647
#41
11.80.3
12.512.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.2
blue by 9.1
20.90.7
18.417.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed