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Red28
396516.8
761313.3
682511.1
Blue54
349111.8
6017.5
682112.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423820305060702854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#22
16.80.8
16.816.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End5.6
blue by 0.7
60
#39
17.50.9
16.217.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Second
7613
#28
13.31.3
11.29.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End3.2
red by 0.9
6821
#31
12.40.8
8.99.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Third
6825
#38
11.11.3
11.410.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 0.7
3491
#33
11.81.3
11.012.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed