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Red52
707712.8
432215.4
248516.5
Blue64
69624.4
756710.3
157222.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4258020805264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#27
16.50.9
14.215.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 7.9
696
#14
24.40.4
21.121.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End7.8
Second
4322
#18
15.40.8
17.618.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
blue by 7.3
1572
#11
22.70.4
18.018.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End4.1
Third
7077
#35
12.81.4
7.69.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End3.5
red by 2.5
7567
#29
10.30.7
15.316.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsMissed