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Red56
396516.8
502522.6
6017.5
Blue68
756612.2
682421.9
157222.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5546203040506070805668

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5025
#12
22.60.3
19.319.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 0.1
1572
#11
22.71.4
18.419.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End4.1
Second
60
#39
17.50.3
17.417.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 4.3
6824
#21
21.91.4
18.119.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.1
End3.2
Third
3965
#22
16.80.3
14.915.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End5.6
red by 4.6
7566
#43
12.22.3
7.49.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed