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Red56
682112.4
65199.9
248516.5
Blue32
300922.2
58510.3
742210.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4639102030506070805632

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#27
16.50.0
16.316.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End2.0
blue by 5.7
3009
#20
22.20.5
20.319.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End5.9
Second
6821
#31
12.40.0
11.411.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 1.6
7422
#37
10.80.9
7.87.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End2.7
Third
6519
#16
9.90.0
15.415.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.1
End3.3
blue by 0.4
585
#44
10.30.5
8.58.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed