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Red52
153711.7
565915.1
317124.6
Blue56
81022.2
642313.6
674610.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4448102030406070805256

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#21
24.60.5
20.620.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
red by 2.4
810
#5
22.20.1
19.119.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End5.7
Second
5659
#44
15.10.9
10.910.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 1.4
6423
#19
13.60.2
13.113.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Third
1537
#34
11.70.9
10.29.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End3.4
red by 0.9
6746
#26
10.80.2
12.913.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed