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Red33
179632.1
362416.0
287211.7
Blue35
445813.4
35213.6
260114.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573920801003335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.12.3
28.225.9
Auto2.6
Teleop22.4
End7.1
red by 18.1
2601
#15
14.00.6
14.113.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Second
3624
#36
16.02.1
15.513.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 2.4
352
#13
13.60.9
10.910.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
2872
#31
11.72.3
10.58.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.1
blue by 1.8
13.40.5
12.011.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
34%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed