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Red47
56417.4
35213.6
87116.5
Blue34
509913.8
53319.1
740010.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46401020305060704734

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
564
#17
17.40.2
16.917.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.0
End5.6
blue by 1.7
533
#14
19.10.3
14.814.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End3.3
Second
871
#23
16.50.2
15.315.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End3.7
red by 2.7
5099
#47
13.80.5
11.911.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Third
352
#13
13.60.4
11.511.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 2.7
7400
#46
10.90.3
11.411.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed