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Red26
115617.4
5229.7
17517.9
Blue44
153711.7
146822.2
80611.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36421020305060702644

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#37
17.40.7
16.415.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End2.6
blue by 4.7
1468
#10
22.20.1
20.020.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.1
End5.1
Second
522
#42
9.71.2
6.24.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End2.7
blue by 2.0
1537
#34
11.70.2
9.69.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Third
1751
#48
7.91.2
11.510.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 3.4
806
#22
11.30.2
9.910.1
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed