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Red45
565915.1
26317.3
698916.9
Blue47
559915.8
752217.8
362416.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46381020305060704547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#28
17.30.5
16.115.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 0.5
7522
#24
17.81.2
13.214.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Second
6989
#29
16.90.8
16.515.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.5
red by 0.9
3624
#36
16.00.7
12.613.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End4.1
Third
5659
#44
15.10.8
10.79.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 0.7
5599
#18
15.81.2
10.511.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed