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Red40
400616.7
642212.0
60113.3
Blue84
260114.0
179632.1
34033.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387302060801004084

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4006
#20
16.70.1
13.813.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End6.8
blue by 16.6
340
#1
33.21.0
27.928.9
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End9.3
Second
601
#40
13.30.1
12.913.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End5.0
blue by 18.7
32.11.0
27.728.7
Auto2.6
Teleop22.4
End7.1
Third
6422
#39
12.00.1
9.69.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End3.4
blue by 2.0
2601
#15
14.01.0
13.414.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed32%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned77%HAB Docking oddsEarned