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Red40
49612.3
362416.0
60113.3
Blue81
509913.8
680618.9
573620.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395302060804081

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3624
#36DQ
16.00.2
13.413.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.5
End4.1
blue by 4.7
5736
#11
20.70.1
21.221.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Second
601
#40
13.30.3
13.013.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End5.0
blue by 5.5
6806
#25
18.90.1
18.018.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End4.5
Third
496
#43
12.30.3
10.611.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.7
blue by 1.5
5099
#47
13.80.2
11.511.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed