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Red50
696913.2
395016.4
752217.8
Blue89
317124.6
34033.2
27117.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43712060801005089

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
#24
17.80.7
14.315.1
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End4.1
blue by 15.4
340
#1
33.21.2
28.930.2
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End9.3
Second
3950
#33
16.40.4
15.015.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 8.2
3171
#21
24.61.2
23.024.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Third
6969
#32
13.20.4
11.111.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 3.9
271
#16
17.11.2
15.416.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsEarned