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Red54
179632.1
35213.6
773211.4
Blue61
52719.5
80611.3
565915.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53401020306070805461

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.3
28.728.9
Auto2.6
Teleop22.4
End7.1
red by 12.6
527
#12
19.50.7
18.118.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End5.0
Second
352
#13
13.60.4
11.812.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 1.5
5659
#44
15.11.1
9.911.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
7732
#27
11.40.4
9.710.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.6
End2.6
red by 0.1
806
#22
11.31.1
10.111.2
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
32%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed