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Red32
400616.7
642313.6
17517.9
Blue37
501616.1
740010.9
674610.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3745102030405060703237

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4006
#20
16.70.3
13.913.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End6.8
red by 0.5
5016
#30
16.10.4
17.917.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End2.9
Second
6423
#19
13.60.3
10.910.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 2.8
7400
#46
10.90.4
11.210.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
1751
#48
7.90.3
10.310.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 2.9
6746
#26
10.80.6
13.412.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed