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Red41
56417.4
287211.7
740010.9
Blue58
642212.0
28721.9
559915.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435102060804158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
564
#17
17.40.6
17.216.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.0
End5.6
blue by 4.5
287
#6DQ
21.90.7
23.223.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End7.2
Second
2872
#31
11.70.6
12.111.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.1
blue by 4.1
5599
#18
15.81.0
15.616.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Third
7400
#46
10.90.6
11.310.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 1.1
6422
#39
12.01.0
9.310.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned