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Red55
32923.9
80611.3
723924.9
Blue45
87116.5
49612.3
26317.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64473040607080905545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.4
24.924.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 7.6
263
#28
17.30.2
16.316.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Second
329
#9
23.90.4
24.924.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End7.4
red by 7.4
871
#23
16.50.2
15.715.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Third
806
#22
11.30.5
10.910.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 1.0
496
#43
12.30.2
12.312.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed