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Red51
53319.1
27117.1
88413.5
Blue82
573620.7
179632.1
317124.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51812040601005182

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#14
19.10.2
18.318.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End3.3
blue by 13.0
32.10.4
30.230.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.4
End7.1
Second
271
#16
17.10.2
16.817.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End5.6
blue by 7.5
3171
#21
24.60.4
24.524.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Third
884
#38
13.50.3
12.913.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.6
End4.6
blue by 7.3
5736
#11
20.70.4
21.722.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed41%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsEarned