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Red54
761113.1
56916.6
364624.7
Blue43
774810.7
723921.8
216115.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3837203050605443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.2
14.015.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End8.2
red by 2.9
7239
#11
21.80.5
13.113.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End6.1
Second
569
#15
16.62.0
12.114.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End2.9
red by 1.3
15.30.5
12.012.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End6.7
Third
7611
#27
13.11.0
13.112.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 2.4
7748
#36
10.70.1
10.710.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed