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Red58
263826.6
160116.9
753918.8
Blue38
180312.0
691112.9
529811.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060801001205838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.61.0
20.321.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 13.6
6911
#17
12.90.2
10.610.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End2.8
Second
7539
#16
18.81.0
14.715.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 6.8
1803
#29
12.00.3
11.712.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Third
1601
#25
16.91.3
11.212.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
red by 5.6
5298
#32
11.30.3
10.410.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed