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Red47
694121.1
774810.7
234718.8
Blue50
723921.8
663610.3
602420.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4844102030406070804750

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#21
21.10.6
19.519.0
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 0.6
7239
#11
21.80.9
16.917.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End6.1
Second
18.80.9
13.512.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.8
blue by 2.0
6024
#23
20.80.5
19.820.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Third
7748
#36
10.70.9
12.411.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.0
red by 0.4
6636
#20
10.30.9
5.26.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed