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Red45
317320.0
155413.3
154617.5
Blue53
263826.6
51417.7
216115.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455210203040607080904553

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.0
15.215.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End8.2
blue by 6.6
26.60.2
22.222.4
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Second
17.50.0
14.114.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.8
blue by 0.2
514
#22
17.70.2
15.816.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Third
1554
#37
13.30.0
13.113.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
blue by 2.0
15.30.4
11.511.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed